Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Charleston, WV

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
-- Remove Highlighting --
-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000 FXUS61 KRLX 300531 AFDRLX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 131 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2015 .SYNOPSIS... A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH OVERNIGHT. ADDITIONAL COLD FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY FOR THE UP COMING WORK WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/... BASED ON THE LATEST MODELS...WILL INCREASE SKY COVER AROUND THE FRONTAL PASSAGE OVERNIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... CLOUDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE MONDAY NIGHT AS MOISTURE RETURNS TO THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT CLIPPER. MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT AS THEY MOVE THIS SYSTEM ACROSS THE CWA TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY EVENING. ANY PRECIP THAT DOES ACCOMPANY THIS FRONT WILL LIGHT AND FOCUSED MAINLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA. ONLY MADE SMALL CHANGES IN THIS PERIOD AS CURRENT FORECAST STILL ON TRACK. ONCE FRONT MOVES THROUGH...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MAKES A BRIEF APPEARANCE. THE COMBINATION OF MOSTLY SUNNY TO SUNNY SKIES SUGGESTS A MORE MILDER PATTERN THAN RECENT DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. && .LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
GENERALLY FOLLOWED HPC. WHILE A SIGNIFICANT WARM UP IS EXPECTED MID TO LATE WEEK...IT MAY BE HAMPERED BY SHOWERS ON LATE THURSDAY AND INTO EARLY FRIDAY AS A PESKY DISTURBANCE COMES OUT OF THE S STREAM BEFORE HEIGHTS CAN BUILD. THE MAIN SYSTEM WILL BE FRIDAY EVENING. A THE WEEKEND IS SHAPING UP TO BE SEASONAL AND MAINLY DRY.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
-- Changed Discussion --
SEEING SOME GUSTS ACROSS THE NORTH DUE TO EVAPORATIVE COOLING WITH THE ONSET OF SHOWERS AS THE COLUMN MOISTENS. OTHERWISE...ONLY EXPECTING BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITIES IN SHOWERS TONIGHT AND MVFR CEILINGS THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS AS QUICK LOW LEVEL DRYING IS EXPECTED AFTER 12Z. BEYOND...WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST SOUTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS DURING MIXING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM TO HIGH. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: RESTRICTIONS IN CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION COULD BE LOWER THAN EXPECTED. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. DATE MON 03/30/15 UTC 1HRLY 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 EDT 1HRLY 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H L H HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H M H H H M EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H M L L L PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H M M L M AFTER 06Z TUESDAY... NO WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
-- End Changed Discussion --
&& .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...NONE. OH...NONE. KY...NONE. VA...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...JB/ARJ/30 NEAR TERM...RPY/26 SHORT TERM...JMV LONG TERM...30 AVIATION...26

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.