Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35
000
FXUS65 KREV 171959
AFDREV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RENO NV
1259 PM PDT FRI APR 17 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO THE START OF NEXT WEEK. A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SIERRA THIS
WEEKEND. A MUCH COLDER LOW MAY MOVE INTO THE SIERRA AND WESTERN
NEVADA BY WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

NOT MUCH CHANGE TO THE FORECAST TODAY. WARM CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE, HOWEVER A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN A THUNDERSTORM COULD
DEVELOP ALONG THE SIERRA CREST THIS WEEKEND. MODELS ARE KEEPING
THE CORE OF THE HIGH PRESSURE OVER OREGON THROUGH THE WEEKEND
LEAVING A LIGHT EAST FLOW AND THE THERMAL TROUGH OVER CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA. THIS SET UP FAVORS THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SIERRA CREST AND THE WESTERN SLOPES. ANY
SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOP THIS WEEKEND WILL TRACK TOWARD
THE WEST.

BY MONDAY THE CORE OF THE RIDGE SHOULD DROP INTO NORTHERN NEVADA,
WHICH WILL SWITCH THE FLOW TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. INSTABILITY
ALSO LOOKS STRONGER WHICH MAY ALLOW SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP
OVER THE SIERRA, THEN TRACK EAST INTO FAR WESTERN NEVADA. BRONG

.LONG TERM...TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
AFTER A MILD START TO THE WEEK THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK IS LOOKING
MORE ON THE COOL AND WET SIDE OF THE WEATHER SPECTRUM. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OFF THE WEST COAST AND BEGINS TO MOVE
ONSHORE FOR MIDWEEK. ALTHOUGH THERE ARE STILL SOME MODEL
DISCREPANCIES IN TERMS OF THE TRACK OF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IT
LOOKS LIKE THERE ARE DECENT CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY. AFTER THE INITIAL LOW PRESSURE MAKES ITS WAY SOUTHWARD
DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST BRINGING INCREASED CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE SIERRA AND WESTERN NEVADA, ANOTHER LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM DROPS IN BEHIND IT FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

DID NOT MAKE ANY MAJOR CHANGES TO THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION, BUT
WENT AHEAD AND LOWERED TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY THROUGH THE WEEK. HIGH
TEMPERATURES MAY DROP INTO THE MID 50S BY WEDNESDAY, BUT THERE IS
MORE VARIABILITY WITH THAT LOOKING AT THE DIFFERENT FORECAST MODELS.
THESE STORMS WILL NOT ONLY BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED MOISTURE TO THE
REGION, BUT THANKFULLY WILL NOT HAVE MUCH IN THE WAY OF GUSTY WINDS.
FUTURE SHIFTS WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THE WIND POTENTIAL, BUT IT LOOKS
JUST BREEZY FOR NOW. OTHERWISE, MEDIUM CONFIDENCE FOR COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND SHIFTING TO A WETTER PATTERN FOR NEXT WEEK.
WEISHAHN

&&

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WITH LIGHT WINDS AND VFR CONDITIONS THRU SATURDAY.
WALLMANN

&&

.REV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NV...NONE.
CA...NONE.
&&

$$

FOR MORE INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VISIT...
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RENO (ALL LOWER CASE)







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.