Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
723 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

...Spring Flood Outlook...
...Flood risk is near average for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles...

The potential for flood conditions will be near normal for
the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles.

Soil moisture conditions...
Precipitation was below normal in the eastern panhandles and above
normal in the western panhandles from October through
February. Precipitation was near normal in the central
panhandles. Soil moisture conditions are running at near
historical lows across the panhandles due to the prolonged
drought.

River and stream conditions...
Rivers across the panhandles are running near to below normal
levels for this time of year. Reservoirs are well below
capacity.

Drought areas...
The latest U.S. Drought Monitor shows severe to extreme drought
conditions across the Oklahoma and Texas Panhandles. The forecast
calls for persistent or intensifying drought conditions for the
next three months.

Long term outlook...
The precipitation outlook for March...April and May from the
Climate Prediction Center calls for equal chances or either above-
normal, below normal, or normal rain chances for the Texas and
Oklahoma Panhandles.

Spring flood potential...
Flash flooding and short term flooding in the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles usually occur in response to specific precipitation
events and are not usually tied to soil moisture, reservoir
storage, or other precursor factors. The three month outlook for
precipitation is near normal. Therefore, the overall spring flood
potential is near normal.

Information used to compile this flood potential outlook
was provided courtesy of the Arkansas Red Basin River
Forecast Center, Climate Prediction Center, U.S. Army Corps of
Engineers, and the United States Geological Survey.

For more specific web information concerning river stages and
forecasts for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles, go to:

                  www.srh.noaa.gov/ama
                  www.srh.noaa.gov/abrfc

$$

Goehring




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