Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 041951
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT AS A COLD FRONT TRACKS ACROSS THE REGION. SHOWERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THROUGH TUESDAY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS STATIONARY
OVER NORTHERN OHIO/SOUTHERN MICHIGAN. WITH PLENTY OF SHOWERS...
RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 50 PERCENT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS INCREASED
MOISTURE REMAINS SITUATED OVER SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN. HIGH PRESSURE
RETURNS ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS THROUGH THURSDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-042115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
351 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7080-7580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AFTER 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 10 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4670-5170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (380).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......240-440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-042115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
351 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6150-6650 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1090).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 PM.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-480 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4970-5470 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-042115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
351 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7770-8270 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1640).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4260-4760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (260).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

RK



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