Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 041928
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SOME SHOWERS ON TUESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
FAIR WEATHER IS EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT THEN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS LOW
PRESSURE TRACKS ALONG A FRONT STALLED JUST SOUTH OF LOWER
MICHIGAN. MOSTLY FAIR AND WARM WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WEEKEND AS
ANOTHER LOW MOVES THROUGH.

MIZ037>039-043>045-050815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ040-046-050815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-050815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.21 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-050815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-050815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
328 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.21 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 0100...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO
11 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S.

$$

OSTUNO





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