Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

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FNUS73 KLMK 151322
FWSLMK

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 7...US FISH & WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
922 AM EDT WED APR 15 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL RETREAT EASTWARD TODAY.
STRONG EASTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL SUPPORT GOOD TO EXCELLENT
SMOKE DISPERSION EVEN WITH OVERCAST SKIES. RAIN CHANCES WILL
START TO INCREASE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT THE BULK OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL LATER TONIGHT...AND THURSDAY
WILL BE A WET DAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    BY EARLY EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS EAST 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /42400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
                    MAX...EXCELLENT (70800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........63     62     67     74
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............60     64     65     65
RH..............46     45     47     51
20 FT WIND......E 10   E 9    E 9    E 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....2100   3100   3400   2800
TRANSPORT WIND..E 23   E 24   E 24   E 21

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........78     82     87     91     93     97
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............63     59     57     56     55     54
RH..............59     65     71     76     81     86
20 FT WIND......E 8    E 8    E 7    E 6    SE 6   SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....1400   1400   1200   900    800    700
TRANSPORT WIND..E 17   E 20   E 18   SE 14  SE 12  SE 12

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 72 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2900 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9200-23700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........99     99     98     97     93     87
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............54     55     59     63     65     65
RH..............90     92     87     77     73     72
20 FT WIND......SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   SE 5   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....800    1300   2000   2900   2700   2500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 13  SE 15  SE 14  SE 9   S 7    S 7

$$
FORECASTER...STEVE
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN WINTERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150415.UNIT7.01/LMK







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