Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 051916
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WHIPPOORWILL - GRINDSTONE MTN...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
316 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1511 EDT ON MAY 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE NEAR BERMUDA WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE MILD
SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC INTO THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE MASON-DIXON LINE FROM
THE NORTH...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING THROUGH
SUNDOWN. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE AREA
WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO RETURN TO THE REGION
THURSDAY AND REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT...DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-23600 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........62     61     61     56     53     48
WEATHER COV......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE.....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............76     72     67     64     62     60
RH...............50     59     68     75     81     84
20 FT WIND.......SW 3   SW 2   S 2    S 1    W 1    SE 0
20 FT WIND GUST..4
CWR..............30     30     30     10     10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.24     0      0      0      0      0

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
                    WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3500-5300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    6800-8300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON...DECREASING
                    TO 5500 FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 1 TO 7
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (0-31000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........42     37     46     58     67     70
WEATHER COV......                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP.............59     62     67     72     74     76
RH...............90     81     70     59     57     54
20 FT WIND.......E 1    NW 2   NW 2   N 2    N 2    NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST..       4      4      4      4      4
CWR..............10     10     10     50     50     50
VRATE KT-FT/1000.0      0      16     23     8      29

$$
FORECASTER...JACKSON
REQUESTED BY...MATT WAY JANE HULSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150505.WHIPP.01/LWX


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