Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 210501
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUMP7...USFS HIGH CASCADES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1001 PM PDT MON APR 20 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 PDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FIRST IN A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES WILL ARRIVE
TUESDAY...BRINGING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
THE BURN SITE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. IT WILL
BE COOLER WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES AND A BIT STRONGER WINDS
WEDNESDAY...THEN WEAK FRONTS ARE EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
A STRONGER FRONT MAY ARRIVE DURING THE WEEKEND. THE INVERSION WILL
BE AN ONGOING FEATURE THROUGHOUT THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...ALTHOUGH IT
WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE COLD FRONT TUESDAY
EVENING. EXPECT A WEAK INVERSION TO SET IN AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT, BUT A MUCH STRONGER ONE AROUND 9 PM WEDNESDAY EVENING.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH UPVALLEY WINDS 2 TO 3 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS COULD
                    CAUSE WINDS TO BECOME ERRATIC AND GUSTY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN CLEARING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 2500-3500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 14 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...JOSLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150421.DUMP7.02/MFR



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