Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 241315
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR C-46...CAMP LEJEUNE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
915 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY THIS MORNING
THEN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT. THE
HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE SATURDAY AS DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE
APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THE LOW WILL TRACK OFF THE COAST
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK
BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AFFECTS THE AREA DURING THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

...DRY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OF 20
TO 25 PERCENT...

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 29 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 14 TO
                    18 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............0   0   0   0   0   0   2   2
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57  59  62  64  66  67  68  67
RH..................40  32  28  27  26  27  27  30
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......10  11  10  9   7   6   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  10  15  15
LVORI...............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................45  47  46  62  63  62  60  57
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH...BECOMING WEST 2 TO 3
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............5   4   3   6   12  18  24  30  33  36  43  50
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................65  63  60  57  54  51  50  49  48  47  46  46
RH..................34  38  42  51  61  71  74  77  77  79  83  83
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.....                    5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...............1   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5
ADI.................45  5   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 13 TO 17
                    MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............57  64  67  70  76  83  89  95  98  98  98  99
WEATHER COV.........        SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE........        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  48  50  56  59  61  62  63  64  64  64  64
RH..................83  83  80  64  57  53  54  52  52  54  58  60
20 FT WIND DIR......W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5               10  15  15  15
LVORI...............6   5   6   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................1   1   1   4   9   17  24  31  39  45  51  53
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...CULLEN
REQUESTED BY...KYLE AVESING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150424.C46__.01/MHX



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