Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 201538
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR HU3...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1138 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1155 EDT ON APRIL 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...BAND OF CONVECTION CURRENTLY OVER THE GULF WILL
APPROACH THE WEST FLORIDA COAST BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL FORM NEAR THE BURN SITE AHEAD OF THIS
SQUALL LINE. A HIGH COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS IS FORECAST INTO
MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS OSCEOLA COUNTY. ANY STORMS CAN PRODUCE
CHANGING WIND DIRECTIONS AT THE BURN SITE WITH GUSTS AS STRONG AS
50 TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3 UNTIL
                    1500...THEN 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46 INCREASING TO 66 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........69  81  81  81  85  85
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............85  87  87  85  83  80
RH..............61  59  59  63  69  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..12  13  14  14  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 22 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....42 DECREASING TO 7 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............9.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........85     68     68     68     68     68
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............78     72     71     70     70     69
RH..............74     90     90     93     97     97
20 FT WIND......W 13   NW 7   NW 7   S 6    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 39 IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........68     65     65     65     52     52
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............69     70     76     81     84     83
RH..............100    100    76     60     49     49
20 FT WIND......SW 3   W 5    W 5    NW 6   NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5

$$
FORECASTER...KELLY
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150420.HU3__.01/MLB



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