Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 041300
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR DESOTO 15201...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
800 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION... LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY BY LATE MORNING
AT AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH AND WITH OCCASIONAL HIGHER GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BOTTOM OUT THIS AFTERNOON IN THE LOW TO MID 40S...
BUT EXCELLENT OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES OF 90 PERCENT OR MORE WILL CREATE THE
POTENTIAL OF FOG DEVELOPMENT. DISPERSIONS WILL IMPROVE TO GOOD THIS
AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY FOG IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TUESDAY MORNING. FOG DEVELOPING NEAR THE BURN AREA COULD
RESTRICT VISIBILITY TO LESS THAN 1 MILE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH-SOUTHEAST LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 400 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5300 FT
                    AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST-NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 35 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 63 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............9 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%)...........31     24     24     24
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............77     79     80     79
RH................55     47     45     47
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    SE     SE     SSE
20 FT WIND SPD....7      8      8      11
20 FT WIND GUST...14     15     15     21
MIX HGT (FT)......4200   8000   8000   5300
MIX HGT (M).......1280   2440   2440   1620
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    SE     SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      13     13     13
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      6      6      6
DISPERSION........35     63     63     52
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH BECOMING
                    EAST-SOUTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....52 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........24     21     21     21     29     29
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............78     74     69     66     64     63
RH................50     60     73     80     83     85
20 FT WIND DIR....SSE    S      SSE    SSE    SE     E
20 FT WIND SPD....11     5      3      3      3      3
20 FT WIND GUST...21
MIX HGT (FT)......5300   2500   1400   1400   200    300
MIX HGT (M).......1620   760    430    430    60     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...SE     SSE    SE     SE     SE     ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     9      6      6      3      6
TRANS SPD (M/S)...6      4      3      3      1      3
DISPERSION........52     4      3      3      2      3
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      6
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 10 TO 12
                    MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4900 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST
                    10 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 68 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING C IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........29     25     25     25     22     22
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............61     64     75     81     84     84
RH................92     84     61     47     42     42
20 FT WIND DIR....E      E      ESE    ESE    ESE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....3      4      8      8      10     9
20 FT WIND GUST...              16     16     18     16
MIX HGT (FT)......300    500    4100   4100   7700   4900
MIX HGT (M).......90     150    1250   1250   2350   1490
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    E      E      E      ESE    ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      10     13     13     14     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      4      6      6      6      4
DISPERSION........3      7      50     50     68     43
LVORI.............6      4      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      C      C      C      C
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.15201.01/MOB



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