Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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FNUS73 KMQT 032200
FWSMQT

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENNETH ROAD...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
600 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1734 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 35 PERCENT AND
SOME GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY THIS EVENING AT THE
WILDFIRE SITE. AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN ADVANCE OF A
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE BY LATE EVENING AT THIS LOCATION. MOST AREAS
NEAR THIS LOCATION WILL SEE ABOUT A QUARTER INCH OF RAIN BEFORE THE
SHOWERS DIMINISH LATE TONIGHT. THE COMBINATION OF DIURNAL COOLING AND
THIS RAIN WILL ALLOW EFFICIENT RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERY...AND SOME
FOG MAY DEVELOP LATE. HIGH PRESSURE TRAILING THIS FRONT WILL THEN
BRING MOSTLY SUNNY AND DRIER CONDITIONS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS UNDER 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS BY LATE
                    EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 92 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    4 TO 8 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4...OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 23 TO 40 MPH BECOMING WEST 11 TO 29
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (25).
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2200...THEN 4 UNTIL
                    0300...THEN 3 UNTIL 0500...THEN 2 UNTIL
                    0700...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.25 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........67     83     91     90     81     70
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD NUMRUS DEFNTE NUMRUS SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RN/FG
TEMP............65     60     56     52     49     47
RH..............46     58     68     78     86     92
33-FOOT WIND....SW 12  SW 12  SW 11  SW 11  SW 11  W 10
20-FOOT WIND....SW 10  SW 10  SW 9   SW 9   SW 9   W 8
WIND GUST.......13     13     12     12     12
VINDX KT-FT/100.73     70     68     53     50     34
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 33  SW 35  SW 31  W 24   W 23   W 20
MIX HGT (FT)....300    200    300    300    300    200
LAL.............2      4      4      4      3      2
HAINES INDEX....4      3      3      3      3      3
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG THROUGH EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 32 PERCENT.
33-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5...OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD (337) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (802) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WAVE HEIGHT.........0 FEET.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........50     45     31     8      28     32
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG    FOG    FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     55     62     65     66     63
RH..............88     63     44     35     32     34
33-FOOT WIND....NW 11  NW 11  NW 14  NW 16  NW 16  NW 14
20-FOOT WIND....NW 9   NW 9   NW 11  NW 13  NW 13  NW 11
WIND GUST.......14     14     18     20     20     18
VINDX KT-FT/100.30     81     337    695    802    633
TRANSPORT WIND..W 14   NW 15  NW 18  NW 20  NW 21  NW 21
MIX HGT (FT)....300    600    2100   4100   4500   3500
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      5      5      5
WAVE HEIGHT (FT)0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...KC
REQUESTED BY...STEVE NURSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150503.KENNE.01/MQT


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