Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 261715 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 1215 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 .UPDATE...
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ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 CLOUDS REMAINED MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN PARTS OF SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA THIS MORNING BUT SHOULD SLOWLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. WHERE SKIES WERE CLEAR EARLIER...SOME CUMULUS CLOUDS HAD DEVELOPED. EXPECT SKIES TO BECOME MOSTLY CLEAR ALL AREAS TOWARD EVENING. DID NOT CHANGE HIGH TEMPS MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. EAST WINDS MAY GUST TO OVER 20 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
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&& .SHORT TERM...(TODAY) ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING REVEALING AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SITUATED OVER THE NRN/CNTRL PL WITH AN UPSTREAM LONGWAVE TROF OVER THE WRN CONUS. HIRES PROGS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WRN TROF WILL BOTTOM OUT LATER THIS MORNING OVER AZ/NM...THEN EWD INTO TX THIS AFTN. BRUNT OF ANY PCPN ACTIVITY TODAY THEN SHOULD BE CONFINED ALONG THE WRN HIGH PLAINS WHERE COMBINATION OF DPVA AND ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL BE MOST PREVALENT. FOR THE CWA...ONLY TOPIC OF CONCERN IS CLOUD COVER. RAP13/ARW/NMM ARE IN QUITE GOOD AGREEMENT DEPICTING DECREASING AREAL COVERAGE FROM E TO W TAKING PLACE DURING THE LATE MORNING HOURS WITH THE BREAK BTWN SUN/CLOUDS PUSHING WEST OF THE CWA BY 18Z. THUS EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES DURING THE AFTN HOURS. AS FOR TEMPS...MET/MAV VALUES ARE QUITE SIMILAR AS WELL AS REASONABLE WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 60S. DEE SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY) ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES AND NORMAL TEMPERATURES. THERE STILL IS A VERY WEAK FRONT THAT MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY. NAM/GFS REMAIN DRY...WHILE ECMWF/SREF HINT AT A VERY SMALL CHANCE FOR PRECIP. STILL BELIEVE MOISTURE IS TOO MEAGER TO WARRANT A MENTION AT THIS TIME...THUS WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DRY. DEWALD .LONG TERM...(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 317 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015 THE EARLY PART OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST SHOULD BE DRY WITH RIDGING ALOFT AND TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S AND LOTS OF SUNSHINE. A FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA ON FRIDAY AT PEAK HEATING...AND MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE SUFFICIENT TO AT LEAST MENTION A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THAT WAVE THEN MOVES THROUGH...BUT ANOTHER WEAK WAVE APPEARS TO BE MOVING THROUGH THE AREA ON SATURDAY WHICH COULD TRIGGER ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS. MID TO UPPER 70S TEMPS CONTINUE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT PATCHY CEILINGS AROUND 3000 TO 4000 FEET EARLY THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD DIMINISH WITH VFR CONDITIONS MOST OF THE PERIOD. SOME PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE TOWARD SUNRISE BUT DID NOT INCLUDE IN THE TAFS FOR NOW.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ UPDATE...MILLER SHORT TERM...DEE/DEWALD LONG TERM...DEWALD AVIATION...MILLER

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