Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000 FXUS63 KOAX 251128 AFDOAX AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE 628 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 .SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY) ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 SURFACE LOW AT 08Z WAS LOCATED IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS JUST SOUTH OF FAIRBURY AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARD KANSAS CITY THROUGH 18Z AND THEN TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. A BAND OF STEADY SHOWERS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG I80 WILL PERSIST AND MAY DRIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE...NORTH AND SOUTH OF THIS PERSISTENT BAND THE COVERAGE WILL BE MORE SPOTTY...AND SOME AREAS IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA COULD EVEN REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE DAY. BEST INSTABILITY WILL EXIST ALONG/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER FOR A COUPLE HOURS THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHES GREATLY. HAVE POPS IN THE 60 TO 80 PERCENT RANGE FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BEGIN TAPERING THOSE DOWN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. HELD ONTO A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES IN WESTERN IOWA THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUD TODAY THUS TEMPS SHOULD BE ON THE COOLER SIDE. CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY CLEAR TONIGHT WITH A PERSISTENT EAST SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...BUT LOW CLOUDS COULD LINGER IN THE WESTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS LOW LEVEL RH PROGS REMAIN RATHER MOIST...AND THOSE CLOUDS COULD EVEN LINGER INTO SUNDAY MORNING. TEMPS DO RECOVER SUNDAY...AND SHOULD BE BACK INTO THE MID 60S IN THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY...BUT STILL LOW 60S ALONG THE WESTERN EDGE WHERE CLOUD COVER MAY BE JUST HIGHER. MONDAY SHOULD BE A GREAT DAY WITH SIGNIFICANTLY SUNNIER CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY) ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 ANOTHER WEAK FRONT DOES MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH THE ECMWF ABOUT 6 HOURS AHEAD OF THE GFS. THERE IS LIMITED MARGINAL MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT...THUS KEPT THE FORECAST DRY...BUT THE ECMWF THE LAST COUPLE OF RUNS HAS HINTED AT LEAST AT SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS SO WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH. OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH UPPER RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE REGION. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY WARM EACH DAY EVENTUALLY REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY THE END OF THE WEEK. && .AVIATION...
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(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.) ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015 RADAR MOSAIC SHOWING WIDESPREAD SHRA/IFR CONDITIONS COVERING THE MAJORITY OF ERN NEB THIS MORNING. ALL THIS IN PART TO SFC LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NERN KS. AS THE SFC LOW PUSHES INTO MO LATER THIS AFTN...EXPECT CONDITIONS IMPROVING GRADUALLY FROM WEST TO EAST WITH ALL TERMINALS SEEING LOW END VFR CIGS PREVAILING THRU TONIGHT.
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&& .OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NE...NONE. IA...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...DEWALD LONG TERM...DEWALD AVIATION...DEE

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