Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 280806
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
306 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

LATEST MSAS THIS MORNING WAS SHOWING A RELATIVELY WEAK THERMAL BNDRY
EXTENDING FROM N-CNTRL ND INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE PUSHING TO THE SE.
HIRES HRRR PUTS THE LEADING EDGE OF THE BNDRY MOVING INTO THE NRN
CWA IN A MATTER OF HOURS THE THRU THE REST OF THE CWA DURING THE
MORNING HOURS. GIVEN WEAK CAA DECENT MIXING...SHOULD BE ABLE TO
REACH LOW 70S THIS AFTN...AND FOR WEDNESDAY MET/MAV ARE SIMILAR WITH
LOW 70S. ON THURSDAY...WITH INCREASING 1000-500MB THKNS BUILDING
IN...PREFER WARMER MAV VALUES WITH MID/UPPER 70S. LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT...SMALL POPS IN PLACE OVER THE NRN CWA WHEN ANOTHER WEAK SFC
BNDRY MOVES IN.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 305 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

GFS/ECM SHOWING POSSIBLE PCPN THRU THE MAJORITY OF THE EXTENDED PDS.
POST-FRONTAL PCPN ACTIVITY GRADUALLY DISSIPATES ON FRIDAY AS SFC
BNDRY PUSHES FARTHER SOUTH. LLVL MOISTURE RETURN/STOUT 305K UPGLIDE
DRIVING PCPN CHANCES THEN SATURDAY/SATURDAY NIGHT. FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY
NIGHT...INCREASING MID LYR AGEOSTROPHIC LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH NEXT
COLD FRONT MOVING INTO CNTRL PLAINS. BNDRY MOVES SOUTH OF THE CWA ON
MONDAY. OTHERWISE...SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS EXPECTED HEADING
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1134 PM CDT MON APR 27 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF CYCLE.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...KERN



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