Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 271656
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1156 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

UPDATED TODAY PERIOD TO TWEAK WINDS AND HIGHS JUST A BIT. FAIRLY
THICK HIGH CLOUDS WERE OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA
EARLIER. THESE HAD THINNED A BIT BY LATE MORNING. WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN MAINLY FROM THE EAST OR NORTHEAST THE REST OF THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

AM/GFS/ECM ALL AGREE SHOWING NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROF/WEAK SFC
BNDRY THRU THE DAKOTAS LATE TONIGHT BEFORE WASHING OUT TUE MORNING
AS THE LEADING EDGE APPROACHES THE NRN CWA. NOT IMPRESSED WITH
POTENTIAL FOR ANY PCPN DEVELOPMENT...THUS WILL KEEP FCST DRY AT
THAT TIME. OTHERWISE..INCREASING THKNS ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER RIDGE
BUILDING IN FROM THE WEST WILL BRING WARMER CONDITIONS TO THE CWA
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. LATEST MET/MAV MAX TEMPS ARE SIMILAR AS
WELL AS REASONABLE WITH L70S BOTH DAYS.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

GFS AND ECM ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT LARGE SCALE PATTERN WILL
GRADUALLY TRANSITION TO ZONAL BY NEXT WEEKEND. HOWEVER...SFC
FEATURES BEGIN TO SHOW INCREASING VARIANCE...PARTICULARLY QPF...
TOWARD DAYS 6/7. AT THIS POINT FAVOR JUST GOING WITH SMALL POPS BOTH
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT. OTHERWISE...QUITE PLEASANT OUTDOOR
CONDITIONS ON TAP THROUGH THE EXTENDED PDS WITH AFTN HIGHS
GENERALLY IN THE MID/UPPER 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1155 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH JUST VARIABLE HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS. SOME MID CLOUDS MAY MOVE IN FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MILLER
SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...MILLER


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