Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FXUS63 KPAH 010643
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
143 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 133 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

THE SHORT TERM WILL SEE THE LOW DEPART THE COMMONWEALTH AND HEAD
TO THE MID ATLANTIC. H5 HEIGHTS RISE ALMOST 10 DM BY 12Z
SATURDAY...WHICH HOLDS ITS HIGH PRESSURE AND RIDGES THRU THE
WEEKEND. THIS SHOULD SUPPRESS ANY RELATED/NEARBY POPS CONTAINED
AROUND THE RIM OF THE UPPER HIGH THAT DEVELOPS ACROSS THE LOWER MS
VALLEY WITH TIME. THE NET RESULT WILL BE CONTINUED DRY WEATHER
WITH MOSTLY SUN/MIXED WITH CLOUD AT TIMES AND GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPS. HIGHS IN THE 60S(NR70)/40S(NR50) TODAY WILL WARM THRU THE
70S/50S TMRW AND REACH TO NR 80/NR 60 BY SUNDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 133 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

BROAD HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN U.S. WILL BEGIN THE
LONG TERM PERIOD OF THE FORECAST. A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTH
INTO THE OHIO VALLEY MIDWAY THRU THE LONG TERM...AND FALLING
HEIGHTS IN THE PLAINS WILL AMPLIFY THE TELECONNECTED RIDGE.
STILL...ENOUGH OF A GLANCING BLOW OF POPS WILL INTRODUCE THEIR
MENTION BY TUE/WED...AND THEN START TO RAMP UP LATER IN THE WEEK
AS THE HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST REPLACE THE DAMPENING HIGH FURTHER
EAST. THIS MEANS FAIRLY HIGH POPS ENTER THE FORECAST PICTURE AS
THE WEEK WEARS ON/BY THE END OF THE LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
ISSUED AT 133 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

SCATTERED CU AROUND 5K FEET AGL WILL YIELD A DIURNALLY DRIVEN
APPEARANCE. PATCHY PRE DAWN FOG COULD OFFER AN ISOLATED VSBYS
RESTRICTION BUT OTHERWISE VFR CONTINUES ALL SITES THRU THE
EFFECTIVE VALID PERIOD.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$


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