Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FXUS63 KPAH 231816
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1215 PM CST MON NOV 23 2009

.UPDATE...
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION FOR 18Z TAF ISSUANCE. ALSO UPDATED
DISCUSSION SECTION FOR MORNING TRENDS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TOOK A SECOND SHOT AT METAR AND RADAR TRENDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. MAY
SEE SOME BREAKS IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON...AS MAIN CLOUD
SHIELD SPREADS NORTHWARD OVER THE ENTIRE REGION. WITH SOUTH WINDS
GETTING ESTABLISHED OVER THE REGION...A COUPLE OF DEGREES OF WARMING
IS LIKELY DESPITE A LACK OF SUNSHINE. THE SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS
WILL NEED A COUPLE MORE HOURS TO CLEAR THE NORTHEAST...SO ADDED A
ISOLATED MENTION IN THE GRIDS UP THERE THIS AFTERNOON. OTHER CHANGE
WAS TO KEEP MOST OF THE AREA OVERCAST TONIGHT...TO BE IN LINE WITH
AVIATION FORECAST.

THE EXTENDED FORECAST FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY IS OUT.
FOLLOWED HPC GUIDANCE CLOSELY. HOWEVER...IT IS NOT FAR FROM 00Z GFS
ENSEMBLE MEAN...06Z GFS OR 00Z ECMWF.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL BE THE RULE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAIN
EXCEPTION WILL BE SOME IFR CEILINGS CURRENTLY OVER THE WESTERN HALF
OF THE AREA. THESE SHOULD BE LIFTING IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AT KCGI
AND KPAH. COULD ALSO SEE SOME CEILINGS DROPPING INTO IFR LEVELS
OVERNIGHT...BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO MENTION THAT AT THIS TIME.
COULD SEE A STRAY SHOWER IN THE NORTHEAST EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON...OTHERWISE FORECAST WILL BE DRY. COULD SEE SOME MVFR FOG
DEVELOPMENT THROUGHOUT THE REGION OVERNIGHT. WITHOUT CLEARING OR
WELL-DEFINED BOUNDARY DO NOT EXPECT TO SEE ANY WORSE FOG CONDITIONS
TONIGHT.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

$$

DRS








  • National Weather Service
  • Paducah, KY Weather Forecast Office
  • 8250 Kentucky Highway 3520
  • West Paducah, KY 42086-9762
  • 270-744-6440
  • Page Author: PAH Webmaster
  • Web Master's E-mail: w-pah.webmaster@noaa.gov
  • Page last modified: Nov 10th, 2009 17:45 UTC
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