Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 281304
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
904 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

.UPDATE...
LARGE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
AND CENTRAL FLORIDA CONTINUES TO DRIVE EAST-SOUTHEAST WITH THE
RAIN SHIELD MAINLY IMPACTING THE MARION COUNTY AND OCALA AREAS.
EVERYTHING APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK WITH THE CURRENT PACKAGE AND
NOT PLANNING ANY MAJOR CHANGES THIS MORNING.

&&

.AVIATION...
OVERALL THE STEADY RAINFALL AND LOWER CEILINGS ARE EXPECT TO
REMAIN SOUTH OF OUR FIELDS IN THE KOCF AREA. OVERALL WILL KEEP
GENERAL CEILINGS IN THE 3-5 KFT RANGE WITH PASSING SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
A TIGHTENING LOCAL PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RESULT IN CAUTION LEVEL
EASTERLY WINDS TODAY ON THE COASTAL WATERS. LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO TODAY WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST AND FLORIDA PANHANDLE COAST THROUGH
TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHEASTERLY AND MAY REACH SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS OFFSHORE TONIGHT. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4-6 FT
OFFSHORE. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A SOUTH AND THEN SOUTHWEST
DIRECTION OVER THE FL WATERS AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING LOW ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS PREVAILING OVER THE GA
WATERS. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS BY
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS ON WEDNESDAY...WITH WINDS ABRUPTLY
SHIFTING TO A NORTHWESTERLY DIRECTION. PERIODS OF CAUTION LEVEL
WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AS LOW
PRESSURE STRENGTHENS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST. CAUTION LEVEL SEAS
WILL PREVAIL OFFSHORE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
THEN SUBSIDE THIS WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER OUR REGION.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK TODAY DUE TO STRENGTHENING ONSHORE
WINDS. MODERATE RISK CONTINUES ON WEDNESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  73  61  71  55 /  40  80  70  20
SSI  71  66  74  58 /  40  70  70  30
JAX  74  66  79  59 /  60  60  60  30
SGJ  74  69  81  61 /  70  60  60  30
GNV  77  66  83  59 /  80  60  60  20
OCF  79  67  83  61 /  80  60  60  20

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SANDRIK/STRUBLE/GUILLET



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