Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4
000
FGUS72 KCAE 050832
ESFCAE
GAC033-073-181-189-245-SCC003-009-011-017-025-027-037-039-055-057-
061-063-065-071-075-079-081-085-190845-

WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
332 AM EST THU MAR 5 2015

...WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK...

THIS WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS FOR RIVERS AND
TRIBUTARIES OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN IN EAST-CENTRAL
GEORGIA AND CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING:

SAVANNAH RIVER BASIN DOWNSTREAM OF R. B. RUSSELL LAKE AND
UPSTREAM FROM BURTONS FERRY...

THE EDISTO RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE BAMBERG...ORANGEBURG
COUNTY LINE IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE SANTEE RIVER BASIN UPSTREAM OF THE CLARENDON/BERKELEY COUNTY
LINE AND DOWNSTREAM ON THE SALUDA AND BROAD RIVERS AT THE
GREENWOOD/SALUDA...LAURENS/NEWBERRY...UNION/FAIRFIELD AND THE
CHESTER/FAIRFIELD COUNTY LINES IN SOUTH CAROLINA...

THE WATEREE RIVER SYSTEM DOWNSTREAM OF GREAT FALLS
SOUTH CAROLINA...

AND THE PEE DEE RIVER BASIN IN CHESTERFIELD COUNTY IN
SOUTH CAROLINA.

            ...SUMMARY OF RECENT WEATHER EVENTS...

OVER THE LAST 14 DAYS ENDING MARCH 5 2015...THE HYDROLOGIC AREA
RECEIVED PRECIPITATION OF MAINLY 2 TO 4 INCHES. PLEASE SEE
WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP FOR MORE DETAILS.

            ...SOIL MOISTURE...

THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR VALID FEBRUARY 24 2015 SHOWED NO AREAS IN
DROUGHT BUT A PORTION OF THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH AREA WAS ABNORMALLY
DRY. PLEASE SEE DROUGHT.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS.

             ...RIVER AND STREAM FLOW...

THE 14-DAY AVERAGE STREAMFLOW PROVIDED BY THE USGS AS OF
MARCH 3 2015 INDICATED STREAMFLOWS WERE NEAR NORMAL TO BELOW
NORMAL ACROSS CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH
RIVER AREA OF GEORGIA. PLEASE SEE WATERWATCH.USGS.GOV FOR MORE
DETAILS.

             ...RESERVOIR LEVELS...

MOST RESERVOIRS REMAIN NEAR THEIR TARGET POOLS FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.

LAKE THURMOND...
MAR  5 2015    328.9 FEET
FEB 19 2015    327.3 FEET
DIFFERENCE PLUS  1.6 FEET

LAKE GREENWOOD...
MAR  5 2015    436.6 FEET
FEB 19 2015    435.8 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS 0.8 FEET

LAKE MURRAY...
MAR  5 2015    358.0 FEET
FEB 19 2015    358.0 FEET
DIFFERENCE      NO CHANGE

LAKE MARION...
MAR  5 2015     75.8 FEET
FEB 19 2015     75.5 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS 0.3 FEET

LAKE WATEREE...
MAR  5 2015     98.0 FEET
FEB 19 2015     96.1 FEET
DIFFERENCE  PLUS 1.9 FEET

DATA FOR THIS SEGMENT WAS GATHERED FROM THE UNITED STATES
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE UNITED STATES ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS...
SCE&G...SANTEE COOPER AND DUKE ENERGY.

       ...PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

NEAR TERM...THROUGH MONDAY MARCH 9 PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
0.25 TO 0.50 OF AN INCH ARE FORECAST. PLEASE SEE
THE GRIDDED FORECASTS FOR THE CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE NEXT
7 DAYS AT WEATHER.GOV/CAE.

THE 6- TO 10-DAY OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH 10 TO MARCH
14 CALLS FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION TOTALS ACROSS THE AREA.

THE 8- TO 14-DAY TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR THE PERIOD MARCH 12
TO MARCH 18 INDICATES ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE 30-DAY OUTLOOK FOR MARCH 2015 DISPLAYS EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW
OR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.

THE 3-MONTH OUTLOOK FOR MARCH THROUGH MAY INDICATES NO SIGNALS
OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS
THROUGH THE PERIOD. PLEASE SEE CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV FOR MORE DETAILS
ON TEMP/PRECIP OUTLOOKS.

                 ...SUMMARY...

THE SPRING FLOOD OUTLOOK CALLS FOR NEAR NORMAL POTENTIAL OF RIVER
FLOODING IN CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA.

CENTRAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA ARE CURRENTLY IN
THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON THAT BEGAN IN EARLY TO MID JANUARY.
HISTORICALLY...THE RIVER FLOOD SEASON ENDS IN LATE APRIL FOR
THE REGION. THEREFORE...THE EXPECTATION IS FOR THE NUMBER OF
RIVER FLOODS AND THE MAGNITUDE OF THOSE RIVER FLOODS TO BE
CLOSE TO TYPICAL THROUGH APRIL.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED WINTER/SPRING FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK IS MARCH
19 2015.

               ...QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS OUTLOOK PLEASE
CONTACT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
2909 AVIATION WAY
WEST COLUMBIA SC 29170
PHONE: 803-822-8135
INTERNET ADDRESS CAEWX@NOAA.GOV

$$







USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.