Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 070751
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
351 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.DISCUSSION...WARMER CONDITIONS TODAY AND FRIDAY UNDER SOUTHERLY
FLOW. HIGHS BOTH DAYS CLIMBING TOWARD 80 DEGREES. THESE SOUTHERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO BRING A LITTLE MORE HUMIDITY TO THE AREA...THUS
KEEPING DAYTIME MIN RH VALUES ABOVE 30 PERCENT. LOW CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY. BETTER CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-072115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
351 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10380-10880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 15
                    TO 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6290-6790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-072115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
351 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF AFTER 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9760-10260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 AM UNTIL
                    4 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7890-8390 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2140).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-072115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
351 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FOG
                    UNTIL 10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9290-9790 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 0 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1550).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON UNTIL
                    4 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7620-8120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1990).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

MR



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