Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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000
FNUS73 KDVN 011345
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST GROVE LAKE...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
845 AM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MAY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
TODAY AS A WEAK FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE PLAINS. THE
CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL LATE THIS WEEKEND.
THE WEATHER PATTERN LOOKS TO BE MORE ACTIVE NEXT WEEK WITH
SEVERAL CHANCES FOR SOME RAIN.

THE GRASSLAND FIRE DANGER INDEX -GFDI- DOES NOT ACCOUNT FOR
PRECIPITATION THAT OCCURS OR ANY SNOW ON THE GROUND. PLEASE
MAKE APPROPRIATE ADJUSTMENTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 10 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     64     66
RH..............44     37     36
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 4    SW 4   SW 5
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....2900   3400   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7    S 9    SW 10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE...OTHER THAN VARIABLE VERY LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-5200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100-8000 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800-9000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 3000-4700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ERVIN
REQUESTED BY...CURT KEMMERER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150501.LOSTG.01/DVN



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