Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 010958
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR DELAWARE MNT RX...PRIVATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
458 AM CDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0435 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR WIND SPEEDS WELL ABOVE 20 MPH...MINIMUM RH
NEAR 10 PCT...AND VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER...

.DISCUSSION...
A WARMING AND DRYING TREND STARTS TODAY WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES ABOUT
10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THESE HIGH TEMPERATURES WITH ABUNDANT SUNSHINE
WILL PUSH MINIMUM RH/S DOWN TO NEAR 15 PCT. AS USUAL THE WINDIEST CONDITIONS
WILL BE ON EXPOSED RIDGES...BUT IN ALIGNED CANYONS WINDS WILL BE ABLE TO
REACH NEAR 15 MPH TODAY. INTO THURSDAY MORNING ONLY  FAIR RECOVERY IS
EXPECTED REACHING JUST ABOVE THE TYPICAL MOISTURE OF EXTINCTION FOR CURED
GRASSES - 40 PCT. A MORE SUBSTANTIAL CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY WHEN WINDS WILL BE MUCH STRONGER...EVEN GUSTING TO NEAR 50 MPH.
SINCE FUELS WILL HAVE HAD ANOTHER DAY OF DRYING A VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
RATING IS EXPECTED WHEN MINIMUM RH FALLS TO NEAR 10 PCT...A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH IS IN EFFECT THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........14-16 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY ON EXPOSED RIDGES. WEST WINDS 24 TO 34 MPH AND GUSTY.
                    IN LOW ELEVATION CANYONS WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (4000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (230000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............52        60        73        78
RH..............73        44        23        17
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        SW        SW        W
20 FT WIND SPD..15        20        27        32
20 FT WIND GUST.20        25        35        40
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100    1000      8500      11500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        W         NW        W
TRANS WIND SPD..12        17        15        20
VENT CAT........POOR      POOR      VRY GOOD  EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         4

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........32-52 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY ON EXPOSED RIDGES. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
                    IN LOW ELEVATION CANYONS SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (192500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (40000 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR     CLEAR     MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............77        65        62        59
RH..............16        26        33        41
20 FT WIND DIR..W         W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..34        31        23        18
20 FT WIND GUST.45        40        30        20
MIX HGT (FT)....8500      5000      3500      3000
TRANS WIND DIR..W         W         W         SW
TRANS WIND SPD..22        24        19        14
VENT CAT........EXCLNT    GOOD      GOOD      FAIR
HAINES INDEX....3         3         2         2

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........10 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........VERY WINDY. ON RIDGES SOUTHWEST WINDS 21 TO 26 MPH
                    INCREASING TO 29 TO 39 MPH LATE MORNING WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
                    IN ALIGNED LOW ELEVATION CANYONS WEST 18 TO 28 MPH AND GUSTY.
HAINES INDEX........4 (LOW).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (40000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (233700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR    MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............56        64        76        82
RH..............49        32        17        10
20 FT WIND DIR..SW        W         W         SW
20 FT WIND SPD..16        23        27        30
20 FT WIND GUST.20        30        35        50
MIX HGT (FT)....3000      3500      7000      8500
TRANS WIND DIR..SW        W         W         W
TRANS WIND SPD..15        15        29        30
VENT CAT........FAIR      FAIR      EXCLNT    EXCLNT
HAINES INDEX....2         4         4         4

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...MATIAS TELLES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150401.DELAW.01/MAF





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