Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Twin Cities, MN

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000
FNUS73 KMPX 281056
FWSMPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARCOLA...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
556 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PASS THE BURN SITE THIS MORNING WITH
WINDS BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AFTER PASSAGE. A FEW SHOWERS ARE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH. IF THE SHOWERS
DO OCCUR...RAIN AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT AND AMOUNT TO A FEW HUNDREDTHS
OF AN INCH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. A FEW RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS 30 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........64 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH
                    5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-38900) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (68400-102800) LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    7 TO 14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                     SCTTRD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............58     64     66     67     66     61
RH..............44     37     37     37     40     48
20 FT WIND......W 3    NW 5   N 6    N 6    N 5    N 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....6      5      5      4      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW TO OR MODERATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-42500) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (221600-252300).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9600-11500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 26 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...HILTBRAND
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WEYENBERG
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.ARCOL.01/MPX


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