River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 011518
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1113 AM EDT Wed Apr 01 2015
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.85 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     2.9/     2.9
.E2 :0402:/     2.9/     2.9/     2.9/     3.0
.E3 :0403:/     3.3/     3.7/     4.2/     4.5
.E4 :0404:/     4.5/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.30/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.98 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:Crest 8.18 at Apr-04 8pm
:
.ER RAPN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     3.9/     3.8
.E2 :0402:/     3.8/     3.7/     3.7/     3.9
.E3 :0403:/     4.5/     5.2/     5.9/     6.6
.E4 :0404:/     7.3/     7.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.32/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.63 ft at Apr-01 10:15 am
:Crest 6.93 at Apr-03 8am
:
.ER GOWN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.5
.E2 :0402:/     2.6/     2.8/     3.1/     3.9
.E3 :0403:/     5.9/     6.9/     6.4/     5.6
.E4 :0404:/     5.4/     5.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.36/ 0.10/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.65 ft at Apr-01 10:15 am
:Crest 5.13 at Apr-03 2am
:
.ER GDVN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     1.5/     1.6
.E2 :0402:/     1.8/     1.9/     2.5/     3.4
.E3 :0403:/     5.1/     4.5/     4.1/     3.9
.E4 :0404:/     3.5/     3.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.34/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.41 ft at Apr-01 10:30 am
:Crest 7.32 at Apr-03 2am
:
.ER LCSN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.7
.E2 :0402:/     4.7/     4.9/     5.3/     7.1
.E3 :0403:/     7.3/     6.2/     5.8/     5.6
.E4 :0404:/     5.3/     5.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.33/ 0.05/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.25 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:Crest 9.18 at Apr-03 2am
:
.ER EBZN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     3.2/     3.2
.E2 :0402:/     3.2/     3.4/     3.7/     4.5
.E3 :0403:/     9.2/     7.4/     6.6/     6.4
.E4 :0404:/     6.2/     5.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.37/ 0.06/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.09 ft at Apr-01 10:15 am
:Crest 5.62 at Apr-03 2pm
:
.ER WILN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     3.0/     3.0
.E2 :0402:/     3.0/     3.0/     3.1/     3.4
.E3 :0403:/     5.0/     5.5/     5.6/     5.4
.E4 :0404:/     5.1/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.33/ 0.03/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.20 ft at Apr-01 10:45 am
:Crest 9.58 at Apr-03 8am
:
.ER WLLN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     5.2/     5.2
.E2 :0402:/     5.2/     5.3/     5.4/     6.0
.E3 :0403:/     7.6/     9.6/     8.9/     8.0
.E4 :0404:/     7.4/     7.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.20/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 10.24 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:Crest 14.25 at Apr-03 2pm
:
.ER PRTN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/    10.2/    10.2
.E2 :0402:/    10.1/    10.2/    10.3/    10.5
.E3 :0403:/    11.0/    12.9/    14.2/    14.1
.E4 :0404:/    13.4/    12.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.22/ 0.14/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 606.44 ft at Apr-01 10:00 am
:Crest 633.01 at Apr-05 2pm
:
.ER MMDN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/   605.1/   602.6
.E2 :0402:/   599.0/   594.8/   592.1/   587.4
.E3 :0403:/   589.9/   599.7/   610.0/   618.3
.E4 :0404:/   623.9/   627.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.24/ 0.09/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 23.18 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:Crest 26.56 at Apr-06 2am
:
.ER AVON6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/    23.1/    22.8
.E2 :0402:/    22.5/    22.2/    21.6/    21.0
.E3 :0403:/    20.8/    21.3/    22.6/    24.0
.E4 :0404:/    25.0/    25.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.23/ 0.09/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.65 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     3.7/     3.6
.E2 :0402:/     3.6/     3.5/     3.5/     3.6
.E3 :0403:/     3.7/     4.0/     4.2/     4.3
.E4 :0404:/     4.3/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.28/ 0.07/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.87 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.8
.E2 :0402:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.6
.E3 :0403:/     2.7/     2.9/     3.1/     3.3
.E4 :0404:/     3.5/     3.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.29/ 0.04/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.76 ft at Apr-01 08:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     7.7/     7.6
.E2 :0402:/     7.5/     7.4/     7.2/     7.1
.E3 :0403:/     7.0/     7.1/     7.4/     7.9
.E4 :0404:/     8.4/     8.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.24/ 0.07/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.69 ft at Apr-01 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     1.6/     1.6
.E2 :0402:/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6/     1.6
.E3 :0403:/     1.7/     1.9/     2.2/     2.4
.E4 :0404:/     2.3/     2.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.21/ 0.11/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/   687.5/   687.5
.E2 :0402:/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5/   687.5
.E3 :0403:/   687.5/   687.5/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :0404:/   687.7/   687.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.12/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:
.ER CPNN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.7
.E2 :0402:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7/     4.7
.E3 :0403:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.9/     4.9
.E4 :0404:/     4.8/     4.8
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.91 ft at Apr-01 11:00 am
:Crest 7.23 at Apr-04 2pm
:
.ER BOON6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     4.5/     4.5
.E2 :0402:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0403:/     4.7/     5.2/     6.0/     6.6
.E4 :0404:/     7.0/     7.2
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.29/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.30 ft at Apr-01 10:30 am
:Crest 6.26 at Apr-04 8pm
:
.ER MCKN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.7
.E2 :0402:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0403:/     2.8/     3.3/     4.1/     4.9
.E4 :0404:/     5.5/     5.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.24/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.57 ft at Apr-01 10:30 am
:Crest 7.05 at Apr-06 8am
:
.ER ARTN6 20150401 E DC201504011113/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     2AM      8AM      2PM      8PM
.E1 :0401:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.5
.E2 :0402:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0403:/     3.6/     3.9/     4.3/     4.8
.E4 :0404:/     5.3/     5.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.22/ 0.20/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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