Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXHW01 KWNH 041221
PMDHI

HAWAII EXTENDED FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
820 AM EDT MON MAY 04 2015

VALID 00Z TUE MAY 05 2015 - 00Z TUE MAY 12 2015

MODELS AND ENSEMBLES REASONABLY AGREE THAT HIGH PRESSURE SETTLED
TO THE  NORTHEAST OF THE STATE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND
SUBSEQUENT HIGH BRIDGING TO THE NORTH OF THE ISLANDS LATE WEEK
ONWARD SHOULD SUPPORT MODERATE TO BRISK TRADES. THIS PATTERN
FAVORS MAINLY WINDWARD TERRAIN BASED SHOWERS GIVEN LIMITED
MOISTURE. MOISTURE MAY REBOUND SOME BY LATE WEEK AS AMPLIFIED
MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PASSAGE WELL NORTH OF THE STATE ALLOWS A
WEAKENING TRAILING FRONT APPROACH AND SETTLE TO THE NORTHWEST OF
THE STATE.

SCHICHTEL

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