Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 152049
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
349 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...
LATEST RADAR DATA INDICATES ONLY LIGHT RETURNS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. SHORT WAVE ENERGY NOW PUSHING INTO WESTERN SECTIONS SECTIONS WILL HAVE
A RELATIVELY SHORT WINDOW TO SUPPORT ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THIS
EVENING. SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY IS GREATEST ACROSS THE EXTREME
EAST...WITH CAPE VALUES OF > 1500 J/KG INDICATED.

OVERALL CONVECTION CHANCES WILL INCREASE AGAIN LATE THURSDAY...AS
THE MID SOUTH WILL BE INCREASINGLY  AFFECTED BY SOUTHERN STREAM
ENERGY. SEVERAL ROUNDS OF PRECIPITATION ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY...THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEKEND. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE OVERALL
POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LOW.
HOWEVER...WILL NEED TO MONITOR LOCAL CONDITIONS CAPABLE OF PROMOTING
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR     56  75  59  75 /  20  10  10  40
CAMDEN AR         57  79  63  77 /  10  30  40  50
HARRISON AR       54  75  57  73 /  10  10  20  50
HOT SPRINGS AR    56  76  62  75 /  10  20  30  50
LITTLE ROCK   AR  57  77  62  76 /  20  20  30  50
MONTICELLO AR     60  79  64  78 /  20  30  40  50
MOUNT IDA AR      54  76  61  75 /  10  30  40  50
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  55  76  57  75 /  20  10  10  50
NEWPORT AR        57  76  60  76 /  30  10  10  40
PINE BLUFF AR     59  77  63  77 /  20  20  30  50
RUSSELLVILLE AR   55  77  60  75 /  10  20  20  50
SEARCY AR         56  75  60  75 /  20  10  20  50
STUTTGART AR      59  76  63  76 /  20  20  20  50
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

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