Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 020441

1141 PM CDT Fri May 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Monday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

Surface high pressure currently situated over the Mid-Mississippi
Valley brought fair skies and warm temperatures to the region this
afternoon. This trend is expected to continue into the weekend as
upper level high pressure develops a flat ridge over the region
as the surface high pressure center drifts slowly eastward.

Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s but will begin to moderate
through the weekend as winds shift around to a more southerly
direction and Gulf moisture begins to return.

By Sunday...the next upper level wave will make its way onto the
West Coast. This will increase precipitation along a stalled front
across the Central Plains. May also see some gusty winds in the
northern and western sections of the CWA during the day on Sunday.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Friday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

Weather pattern then becomes more unsettled from Monday night
through the remainder of the week. As a northern stream upper low
makes its way into the Pacific will gradually push
the southern stream low out into the Central Plains.

Rain chances will begin to increase across northern and western
sections of the CWA on Monday and throughout the entire region
from Tuesday on. Showers and thunderstorm are expected to be
scattered in nature. If enough instability can be realized...could
see some stronger storms late in the week. Temperatures throughout
the week will be slightly above seasonal normals.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Saturday Night)
Issued at 1139 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

For the 00z TAFS...VFR conditions expected through the period.
Starting to see a slow transition however with surface ridge
shifting to the east. While 00z SGF sounding very, very dry, will
start to see some gradual moistening with a more southerly flow
setting up.




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