Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 310310
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR WESTERN STAR RX...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1010 PM CDT MON MAR 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY.  LIGHT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT WILL INCREASE QUITE A BIT
ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND COLD
FRONT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........WIND SHIFT FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTH IN MORNING.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 1900 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............60     66     70     73
RH..............59     50     43     38
20 FT WIND......NW 4   N 4    N 4    N 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....900    1500   2500   3600
TRANSPORT WIND..W 9    NW 9   NW 8   N 7
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 48.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 76 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
WIND SHIFT..........VARIABLE WIND.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............70     64     59     56     54     52
RH..............41     49     58     63     69     74
20 FT WIND......N 3    NE 2   E 2    E 2    SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....3900   2600   200    BLW100 200    200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 5    N 5    NE 7   E 8    SE 9   SE 9
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 39 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 21 TO
                    29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............50     53     62     69     74     77
RH..............79     75     56     46     41     39
20 FT WIND......SE 4   SE 5   SE 7   SE 6   S 6    S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....100    400    1000   1500   2600   3800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 9   SE 13  SE 17  S 23   S 26   S 28
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 65 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 26 TO 44 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC                       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............75     70     66     64     63     61     60     60     64     68     70     71
RH..............43     49     58     64     76     81     85     87     77     70     66     63
20 FT WIND......S 6    S 7    S 10   S 8    S 7    S 6    S 6    S 6    S 7    SW 7   SW 6   SW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     20     20     20     15     10     10     10     10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   2400   1500   1000   900    900    800    900    1100   1800   2400   2600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 29   S 32   S 36   S 40   S 43   S 44   SW 44  SW 44  SW 41  SW 39  SW 35  SW 29
CHC OF PCPN (%).20     10     10     10     20     20     20     60     60     60     60     60
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3      3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...LINDENBERG
REQUESTED BY...GREG PAINTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150331.WESTE.01/SGF






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