Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 201113
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
613 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
LOW CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF ERN OK
LATE TONIGHT...HOWEVER EXPECTED LOW COVERAGE WILL PRECLUDE A TAF
MENTION ACROSS THE ERN OK TAF SITES. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LOW/MID CLOUDS STARTING TO SHIFT EAST EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
DRY...MILD CONDITIONS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVER THE REGION INTO TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS
WITH A FEW EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO TUESDAY
AS WEAK UPPER WAVE MOVES OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS...ALTHOUGH
MOISTURE WILL REMAIN SOMEWHAT LIMITED.

MORE UNSETTLED WEATHER RETURNS INTO WEDNESDAY AS INITIAL UPPER
DISTURBANCE MOVES OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST. AS WARM FRONT
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
..SCATTERED ELEVATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA NORTH OF WARM FRONT. A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BE
STRONG WITH MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.

GREATER SEVERE THREAT WILL LIKELY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING
NEAR FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH AMPLE MOISTURE/INSTABILITY IN PLACE BY
THIS TIME. MORE DISCRETE SEVERE STORMS SHOULD DEVELOP WEST OF THE
AREA BEFORE MOVING/TRANSITIONING TO A QLCS ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA WEDNESDAY EVENING. MAIN SEVERE THREATS WILL BE DAMAGING
WINDS/LARGE HAIL/HEAVY RAINFALL...HOWEVER A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE AND OVERALL THREATS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REFINED.

ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY AS MAIN UPPER LEVEL
STORM SYSTEM LIFTS INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER...INCLUDING HEAVY RAINFALL.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...23



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.