Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FXUS64 KMOB 040500
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1200 AM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

.AVIATION...
04.06Z TERMINAL FORECAST DISCUSSION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO START OFF THIS TAF PERIOD WITH A FEW LOW TO MID
CLOUDS LOCATED NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST. STILL LOOKING FOR THE
POTENTIAL OF PATCHY MVFR TO IFR VISIBILITY REDUCTIONS DUE TO FOG
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION MAINLY BETWEEN 04.09-13Z. VFR EXPECTED
MONDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTHEAST WINDS...ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST
WHERE SPEEDS OF 10-15 KNOTS WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 20 KNOTS ARE
EXPECTED. ISOLATED SHRA POSSIBLE NAR THE COAST MONDAY AFTERNOON BUT
POTENTIAL IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE MENTION ATTM. /21

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 921 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

UPDATE...
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A NARROW PLUME OF LOW TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE
MOVING NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF MEXICO THIS
EVENING...AND RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS DEVELOPING
OVER OUR WESTERN MARINE ZONES WITHIN A REGION OF WEAK ISENTROPIC
LIFT. THIS NARROW AXIS OF LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE
W/NW THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS...AND WILL INCLUDE A MENTION OF
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS OVER OUR WESTERN MARINE ZONES PRIOR TO 06Z.
A FEW HINTS THAT ISOLATED SHOWERS COULD DEVELOP AS FAR NORTH AS
STONE/GEORGE MS AFTER 06Z...BUT THE OVERALL CHANCE OF MEASURABLE
RAIN LOOKS TO REMAIN BELOW MENTIONABLE LEVELS. HIGH RES/SHORT RANGE
MODEL DATA STILL CONTINUES TO SIGNAL THE DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY FOG
MAINLY OVER INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE
COAST LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY MORNING...WHICH IS ALREADY MENTIONED
IN THE GRIDS. THE ONGOING FORECAST LOOKS TO BE IN GOOD SHAPE. /21

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      60  82  59  83  60 /  05  10  05  05  05
PENSACOLA   65  81  63  81  65 /  05  10  05  05  05
DESTIN      65  82  65  81  66 /  05  10  05  05  05
EVERGREEN   54  84  57  85  57 /  00  05  05  00  05
WAYNESBORO  55  84  57  84  59 /  05  05  05  05  05
CAMDEN      54  84  58  85  57 /  00  05  05  00  05
CRESTVIEW   53  86  57  85  58 /  00  10  05  05  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$


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