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000
FXUS63 KSGF 100506
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1106 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2010

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

VERY COLD AND BLUSTERY CONDITIONS PREVAILED ACROSS THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS A DEEP UPPER LOW
TRACKED FROM MISSOURI TOWARD THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY.

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...

THE UPPER PATTERN WILL DEAMPLIFY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS
THE UPPER LOW MAKES ITS WAY TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. A SURFACE
RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY. WHILE
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR MID FEBRUARY...
WINDS WILL BE MUCH LIGHTER.

ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH NOW OFF OF THE CALIFORNIA COAST WILL
TRACK EAST ALONG THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE U.S. AND REACH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY. MEANWHILE ANOTHER SHORTWAVE
WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST INTO THE PLAINS. THE RESULT WILL BE INCREASING
CLOUDS BY LATE THURSDAY. SOME VERY LIGHT SNOW MAY DEVELOP THURSDAY
NIGHT BUT THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF THE
OZARKS AND NO ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

FOSTER

LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

THE UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE EXTENDED
FORECAST BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A COUPLE
CHANCES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH SOUTHWEST MISSOURI SATURDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A QUICK DIGGING
UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT IS PROGGED TO TRACK THROUGH THE CENTRAL OZARKS
AND INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. MOISTURE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT AND UPPER LOW
WILL BE LIMITED...WITH ONLY LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED WITH LITTLE TO NO
ACCUMULATION. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE PLAINS AND THE
OZARKS BEHIND THE DEPARTING LOW BRINGING A CONTINUED PERIOD OF BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH NORTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT COULD PRODUCE SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ANGLE


&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z JLN...SGF AND BBG TAFS...SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWING
STRATOCU DECK MOVING INTO THE AREA LATE THIS EVENING...CAUSING
SOME MVFR CEILINGS FOR SGF. SOME BREAKS SEEN WILL LEAD TO TEMPO
SCATTERING OUT AND VFR CONDITIONS. EXPECT THIS STRATOCU DECK TO
PERSIST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THEN LOW LEVEL WINDS BECOME MORE ANTICYCLONIC AROUND
12Z...INDICTING SCATTERING OUT OF LOW CLOUDS. VFR CONDITIONS FROM
SUNRISE ON AT ALL THREE AIRFIELDS.

CLAYCOMB

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$