Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 181251
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR TA 13B...US ARMY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
851 AM EDT SAT APR 18 2015

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A COLD FRONT
DROPS SOUTH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT...THEN STALLS OVER CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA ON SUNDAY. THE STALLED FRONT LIFTS BACK NORTHEAST
AS A WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT...BEFORE A ANOTHER COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA LATE MONDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING LIGHT IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............36  36  23  23  23  15  15  15
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................69  73  75  77  78  79  79  78
RH..................61  51  48  45  43  42  42  43
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD......5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....    10  5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.3 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   8   7   6   5   5   6   6
LVORI...............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.................15  19  20  18  21  21  19  21
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
VRATE KT-FT/1000....10  13  15  15  15  16  17  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....LIGHT WINDS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-500 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 2 TO
                    3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............10  10  10  9   9   9   11  11  11  12  12  12
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................77  74  70  66  62  59  57  56  55  53  53  52
RH..................45  50  57  63  70  72  75  74  74  77  77  77
20 FT WIND DIR......N   N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   SE  NE  N
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......2.7 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   SE  E   NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   7   7   6   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3
LVORI...............2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   3   4   4   4
ADI.................3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   2
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....16  10  3   2   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   1

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF
                    RAIN LATE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-3500 FT
                    AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST
                    20 TO 28 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............15  15  15  29  29  29  49  49  49  70  70  70
WEATHER COV.........                        SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE........                        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................53  54  55  57  58  60  61  63  64  63  62  61
RH..................74  69  66  62  59  55  53  50  48  52  56  60
20 FT WIND DIR......NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD......5   6   7   8   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....        10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.3 2.7 3.1 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.....9   16  22  22  21  20  20  21  22  24  26  28
LVORI...............3   3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................7   13  17  17  28  37  44  40  46  54  63  71
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  50  50  50
HAINES INDEX........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   4   5   13  20  25  30  36  44  56  70  83



FORECASTER...ALBRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150418.TA13B.01/AKQ



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