Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 191311
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLEGAN BURNS...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
911 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0925 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RAIN WILL SPREAD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS LOWER MICHIGAN
TODAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM 3/4 TO AROUND AN
INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE BY TUESDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. RAIN LATE IN THE DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 68.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    EAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 23 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 33 TO 36 MPH
                    LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1800-2300
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........69     64     80     89     98     98
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP............53     60     65     68     68     61
RH..............44     38     35     37     45     70
20 FT WIND......E 17   E 18   E 18   E 18   E 17   E 17
20 FT GUST......       20     25     25     20     25
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      3      3      3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH TOWARD DAYBREAK.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 29 TO 36 MPH BECOMING SOUTH 14 TO 23
                    MPH FROM LATE EVENING THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150419.ALLEG.01/GRR





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