Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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000
FNUS73 KPAH 271433
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR SIZEMORE BRUSH PILES...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
933 AM CDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 27.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE A DRY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND FLOW
THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 64.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 10 MPH...
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    2900-4700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 0 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 14 TO
                    23 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........19  20  20  20  20  19  19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57  58  59  61  63  64  64
RH..............44  44  45  42  38  37  37
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..9   10  10  10  9   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 22 TO 29 MPH BECOMING EAST 13 TO 18
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........18     18     19     20     22     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............63     58     52     49     47     45
RH..............37     49     65     70     73     79
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 64.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4800 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST 12
                    TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING
                    TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........27     29     31     34     40     48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44     44     52     57     62     64
RH..............77     78     70     54     48     46
20 FT WIND......NE 7   NE 7   NE 8   NE 9   NE 9   NE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...YORK
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150427.SIZEM.01/PAH



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