Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 020434
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1134 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1128 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE TAF PERIOD. LOW LEVEL
WIND SHEAR WAS NOT WELL FORECASTED BY THE MODELS THEREFORE HAVE
ADDED A GROUP BASED ON CURRENT OBSERVATIONS. THE MODELS ARE ALSO
HINTING AT A SHORTWAVE TRACKING ACROSS THE AREA DURING MID DAY.
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM COULD BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS FEATURE ALTHOUGH
CONFIDENCE WAS TOO LOW AT THIS POINT TO MENTION.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          815 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 613 PM):        200FT  190/07 MPH
                                      400FT  197/09 MPH
                                      600FT  194/09 MPH
                                      800FT  189/09 MPH
                                     1000FT  181/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  185/11 MPH
                                     2000FT  191/11 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 177/08 MPH
                                       84FT  181/21 MPH
                                      237FT  182/24 MPH
                                      506FT  185/28 MPH
                                      906FT  187/27 MPH
                                     1432FT  189/25 MPH
                                     2070FT  192/22 MPH
                                     2781FT  211/20 MPH
                                     3570FT  228/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 174/07 MPH
                                       84FT  183/19 MPH
                                      237FT  185/22 MPH
                                      505FT  188/27 MPH
                                      904FT  189/26 MPH
                                     1431FT  193/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  196/21 MPH
                                     2780FT  212/20 MPH
                                     3570FT  223/20 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 188/11 MPH
                                       84FT  192/17 MPH
                                      238FT  193/19 MPH
                                      505FT  197/27 MPH
                                      906FT  189/26 MPH
                                     1431FT  193/23 MPH
                                     2070FT  196/21 MPH
                                     2780FT  212/20 MPH
                                     3570FT  223/20 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        623 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  170/06 MPH
                    8 AM  170/07 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$







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