Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 182342
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
642 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 632 PM CDT SAT APR 18 2015

CONVECTION OVER NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS IS LIFTING NORTHWARD AND HAS
PUSHED AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY THAT MAY IMPACT KMHK BETWEEN 00Z AND
01Z WITH A SHIFT TO WESTERLY WINDS. OTHERWISE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN
SHORT TERM MODELS HAS LEAD TO SOMEWHAT LOWER CONFIDENCE ON TIMING
OF CONVECTION FOR TONIGHT. MVFR CONDITIONS MAY IMPACT KMHK AS
EARLY AS 02Z WHILE KTOP/KFOE MAY NOT REACH MVFR UNTIL 04Z. THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDER WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER CLOSER TO IFR NEAR SUNRISE. IMPROVING CONDITIONS
ANTICIPATED BY MID MORNING WITH ACTIVITY SHIFTING EASTWARD AND A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST, EXPECTED TO
IMPACT SITES IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS OVER 20 KTS ARE LIKELY
THROUGH 00Z. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDER AND
MVFR CONDITIONS ARE ALSO LIKELY ALONG AND BEHIND THE FRONT.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          803 PM

    SURFACE WIND FORECAST:           7 PM  120/08 MPH

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 606 PM):        200FT  106/09 MPH
                                      400FT  112/10 MPH
                                      600FT  118/11 MPH
                                      800FT  122/11 MPH
                                     1000FT  130/10 MPH
                                     1500FT  148/12 MPH
                                     2000FT  096/08 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 600 PM):      SURFACE 130/11 MPH
                                       67FT  131/14 MPH
                                      221FT  133/15 MPH
                                      492FT  133/16 MPH
                                      891FT  135/17 MPH
                                     1414FT  137/17 MPH
                                     2045FT  159/18 MPH
                                     2751FT  169/18 MPH
                                     3534FT  170/15 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 PM):      SURFACE 125/07 MPH
                                       70FT  129/11 MPH
                                      227FT  131/13 MPH
                                      495FT  133/14 MPH
                                      897FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 PM):      SURFACE 124/05 MPH
                                       82FT  128/09 MPH
                                      236FT  131/11 MPH
                                      507FT  135/13 MPH
                                      907FT  136/15 MPH
                                     1418FT  140/16 MPH
                                     2049FT  158/18 MPH
                                     2756FT  171/18 MPH
                                     3540FT  173/16 MPH

    DENSITY ALTITUDE:                7 PM  2108 FT

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        640 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   7 AM  220/03 MPH
                    9 AM  280/05 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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