Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
SXUS43 KTOP 260441
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1141 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

MAIN CONCERN IS WITH THE LOWER CEILINGS FROM THE STRATUS DECK
THAT WILL LINGER OVERNIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. LOW-END MVFR
CIGS REMAINED IN PLACE THIS EVENING WITH MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUING
TO SUGGEST CIGS LOWERING TO IFR CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, BASED ON CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS, MODELS SEEM TO BE TOO FAST WITH THESE IFR
CONDITIONS, SO CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW WITH THE START TIME FOR IFR
CIGS BUT HAVE PUSHED IT BACK TO AROUND 07Z. GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH CIGS IMPROVING TO MVFR CONDITIONS BY LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE SCATTERING OUT TO LOW-END VFR
CONDITIONS BY LATE AFTERNOON AND CLEARING OUT FOR SUNDAY EVENING.
WINDS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL VEER FROM NORTH TO EAST-NORTHEAST
WITH SOME GUSTS AROUND 20KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          809 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 602 PM):        200FT  005/12 MPH
                                      400FT  010/16 MPH
                                      600FT  008/17 MPH
                                      800FT  005/17 MPH
                                     1000FT  004/15 MPH
                                     1500FT  359/17 MPH
                                     2000FT  353/19 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 062/10 MPH
                                       91FT  062/14 MPH
                                      239FT  062/17 MPH
                                      501FT  063/19 MPH
                                      886FT  064/21 MPH
                                     1388FT  067/22 MPH
                                     1997FT  069/22 MPH
                                     2681FT  073/19 MPH
                                     3444FT  060/18 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 067/10 MPH
                                       91FT  066/14 MPH
                                      242FT  066/17 MPH
                                      500FT  067/19 MPH
                                      885FT  069/21 MPH
                                     1389FT  071/23 MPH
                                     1998FT  073/24 MPH
                                     2681FT  079/23 MPH
                                     3442FT  074/21 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 074/11 MPH
                                       94FT  074/14 MPH
                                      242FT  074/17 MPH
                                      502FT  075/19 MPH
                                      887FT  069/21 MPH
                                     1389FT  071/23 MPH
                                     1998FT  073/24 MPH
                                     2681FT  079/23 MPH
                                     3442FT  074/21 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        631 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  060/09 MPH
                    8 AM  060/10 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.