Recreational Report
Issued by NWS Topeka, KS

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000
SXUS43 KTOP 240443
RECTOP

EVENING LOW LEVEL WIND FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1143 PM CDT THU APR 23 2015

...SHAWNEE COUNTY...

.DISCUSSION...

AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1142 PM CDT THU APR 23 2015

FORECAST SEEMS TO BE ON TRACK, SO THERE ARE NOT A LOT OF CHANGES
TO THE PREV FORECAST. STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
ELEVATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH IT BEING TOUGH TO PIN
POINT TIMING AND LOCATION. THEREFORE CONTINUE WITH VCTS. THERE IS
A LITTLE MORE UNCERTAINTY IN HOW LONG MVFR CIGS HANG IN THROUGH
THE DAY FRIDAY. WITH THE RAP STARTING TO SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS TO
THE NAM, HAVE HELD ONTO THE CIGS INTO THE AFTERNOON. DON`T HAVE
MUCH CONFIDENCE IN THE MOS GUIDANCE INDICATING IFR CIGS, BUT IT IS
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. AS FOR STRONGER STORMS, MODELS HAVE THE
BEST FORCING MOVING THROUGH BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z. TS COVERAGE MAY
END UP BEING MORE SCATTERED, BUT FEEL PROBS ARE GOOD ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE A TEMPO. THERE WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE REFINEMENTS TO THE
FORECAST AS THE WEATHER MOVES IN.

.THIS EVENING...
    SUNSET:                          807 PM

    TOP SND (AGL) (AT 603 AM):        200FT  118/08 MPH
                                      400FT  118/14 MPH
                                      600FT  118/16 MPH
                                      800FT  117/17 MPH
                                     1000FT  109/13 MPH
                                     1500FT  107/13 MPH
                                     2000FT  104/13 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 700 AM):      SURFACE 168/12 MPH
                                       72FT  170/18 MPH
                                      222FT  171/21 MPH
                                      487FT  174/25 MPH
                                      878FT  179/31 MPH
                                     1389FT  188/38 MPH
                                     2017FT  191/41 MPH
                                     2719FT  191/39 MPH
                                     3499FT  198/37 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 800 AM):      SURFACE 167/13 MPH
                                       75FT  169/21 MPH
                                      228FT  169/24 MPH
                                      490FT  172/28 MPH
                                      882FT  178/35 MPH
                                     1394FT  187/42 MPH
                                     2020FT  189/43 MPH
                                     2725FT  191/39 MPH
                                     3512FT  201/33 MPH

    RAP WINDS (AGL)(AT 900 AM):      SURFACE 162/16 MPH
                                       64FT  163/22 MPH
                                      217FT  165/26 MPH
                                      479FT  168/31 MPH
                                      872FT  178/35 MPH
                                     1394FT  187/42 MPH
                                     2020FT  189/43 MPH
                                     2725FT  191/39 MPH
                                     3512FT  201/33 MPH

.OUTLOOK FOR TOMORROW MORNING...
    SUNRISE:        634 AM
    SURFACE WIND:   6 AM  150/12 MPH
                    8 AM  150/13 MPH

&&

THIS FORECAST IS NOT ROUTINELY UPDATED OR AMENDED OUTSIDE OF
SCHEDULED ISSUANCES. A METEOROLOGIST WILL ALSO BE AVAILABLE AT PHONE
NUMBER 1-785-234-2592.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TOPEKA

$$






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