Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK

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000
FXUS64 KOUN 031150
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
650 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.AVIATION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS/SPRINKLES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH
MID/LATE MORNING...OTHERWISE MID TO HIGH CLOUDS WILL
GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MVFR CEILINGS AFTER 9Z AT OKC,OUN,LAW AND
SPS. A GUSTY SOUTH WIND CAN BE EXPECTED WITH GUSTS OVER 30 KNOTS
DURING THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 342 AM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS/SPRINKLES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN WESTERN/CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THIS MORNING...BUT BETTER CHANCES FOR WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS/ISOLATED STORMS WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE FA.

LATER TODAY...MIXING WILL RESULT IN RATHER WINDY CONDITIONS WITH
SOME GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGH PLAINS/WESTERN KANSAS. MID-LEVEL
WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK...BUT A FEW SHOWERS MAY MOVE
INTO FAR NORTHERN/WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING.

SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE ACROSS WESTERN
OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS
A TROUGH APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. MODELS REMAIN FAIRLY
CONSISTENT IN DEVELOPING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS TUESDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...AS THE TROUGH LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. DESPITE STRONG SHEAR...LIMITED INSTABILITY MAY
LIMIT THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS.

THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN LATE WEEK INTO NEXT WEEKEND WILL FAVOR
THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS EACH DAY...ESPECIALLY IN
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  81  61  79  60 /   0  10  10  10
HOBART OK         83  62  79  60 /   0  10  10  30
WICHITA FALLS TX  83  62  80  61 /   0   0  10  10
GAGE OK           84  60  80  58 /  10  20  30  40
PONCA CITY OK     83  61  82  60 /   0  10  20  10
DURANT OK         80  60  79  60 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$


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