Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 070718
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

...DRY AND MILD...

.DISCUSSION...WE/LL SEE QUITE A BIT OF SUNSHINE TODAY AND HIGHS IN THE
70S. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE OVER LOWER MICHGIAN LATE TONIGHT
AND CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.




MIZ037>039-043>045-072015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...4200-4700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...7000-7500 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    10300-10800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2700 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 60 INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 4
                    DEGREES WARMER INLAND.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 82-87
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
   24 HR TREND......
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...100-600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...5600-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800
                    FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1300 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 56-61
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 14
                    PERCENT WETTER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    6000-6500 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400-1600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.14 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-072015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500-8000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100-11600 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-500 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)
                    OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600-7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.11 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-072015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...3500-4000 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 5600-6100 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...7200-7700 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    10200-10700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 82-87
                    PERCENT INLAND.
   24 HR TREND......
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
   24 HR TREND......
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1300-1800
                    FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    7200-7700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.17 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-072015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11200-11700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2400 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400-7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1700-1800 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.15 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-072015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
318 AM EDT THU MAY 7 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7600-8100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11000-11500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1400 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 2300 (EXCELLENT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...0-100 (POOR TO POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1300...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200-8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1500-1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.16 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL MIDDAY...
THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.



$$



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