Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 281109
FWSCTP

SPOT FORECAST FOR D-03C RX...PA ARMY NATIONAL GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
709 AM EDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE.

.DISCUSSION...
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY INTO WEDNESDAY...AS
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS EASTWARD FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. IT WILL
BE BREEZY AT TIMES TODAY...BUT RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO STAY ABOVE 30 PERCENT. RECENT RAINFALL HAS HELPED
GREEN THINGS UP SOME.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5700-6600 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO 23 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............46  47  48  49  51  52  53  51  46  41
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47  49  51  54  56  57  59  60  62  60
RH..................72  66  61  55  52  49  47  45  42  46
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......14  13  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....20  20  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.2 2.3 3.7 4.9 5.7 6.2 6.4 6.6 6.6 6.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.....15  17  22  24  25  25  24  24  24  23
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-5500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-1200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH...DECREASING TO 6 TO 12
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............37  32  29  30  30  30  30  30  30  29  27  25
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................58  55  54  53  51  50  49  49  48  47  46  45
RH..................49  53  56  60  63  67  69  71  74  77  81  86
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD......9   9   8   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10          5   5
MIX HGT (KFT).......5.5 4.4 3.3 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.....N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....22  21  20  17  14  12  9   8   7   6   6   6
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO
                    7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 6100-7000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............23  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22  22
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................43  43  47  50  53  56  58  60  62  64  66  64
RH..................92  92  79  72  65  59  55  52  49  46  44  47
20 FT WIND DIR......NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD......3   3   3   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.2 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.7 5.2 6.1 6.6 6.9 7.0 7.0 6.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.....NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   9
LAL.................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO CTP
REQUESTED BY...TIM HAYDT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.D03CR.01/CTP



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