Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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000
FNUS71 KLWX 231501
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG MEADOWS...USDI - NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1101 AM EDT THU APR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 EDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TODAY AND FRIDAY...
BRINGING DRIER...COOLER...AND CONTINUED BREEZY CONDITIONS. A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST ON SATURDAY...WITH
INCREASED RAIN CHANCES. AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL PUSH THIS
ACTIVITY OFF THE COAST BY LATE SUNDAY AND HANGS AROUND THE AREA
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH...INCREASING TO 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-4100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4400-4800 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (39000-85700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..........4   6   8   11  14  16  16
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....
TEMP.............42  45  47  48  49  49  49
RH...............39  35  31  30  29  30  32
20 FT WIND DIR...NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   NW
20 FT WIND SPD...11  12  11  11  11  11  11
20 FT WIND GUST..18  21  18  18  18  18  18
CWR..............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
VRATE KT-FT/1000.61  66  73  79  84  86  84

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH...BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (53700-79900
                    KNOT-FT)...DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (0-28700
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........16     17     13     25     44     57
WEATHER COV......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TEMP.............48     46     41     38     37     35
RH...............33     38     48     59     67     75
20 FT WIND.......NW 10  NW 7   NW 9   NW 7   N 6    N 8
20 FT WIND GUST..18     11     14     11     11     14
CWR..............0      0      0      0      10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.80     54     9      0      0      0

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 80 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MISSING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (0-20400 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)..........65  68  70  78  92  99  99  100 100 100 100 100
WEATHER COV......PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.....FST FST RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP.............34  33  33  34  36  38  40  42  44  45  45  46
RH...............75  75  75  72  67  64  59  57  55  55  58  58
20 FT WIND DIR...N   NW  NW  W   SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD...6   5   2   2   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST..11  7   4   4   4   7   7   7   11  11  11  11
CWR..............10  10  30  30  30  30  80  80  80  80  80  80
VRATE KT-FT/1000.0   0   0   3   5   10  14  17  20  0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...SCHOOR
REQUESTED BY...MATT WAY JANE HULSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150424.BIGME.01/LWX


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