Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 070411
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURNT WILLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
911 PM PDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ON THURSDAY WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN
WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH A SHOWER OR STRAY THUNDERSTORM CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT. WINDS THURSDAY WILL BE QUITE STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHEAST...AND
DESPITE SHELTERING...SOME STRONG GUSTS COULD REACH THE SURFACE. 20
FT WINDS WILL BE QUITE GUSTY...ON THE ORDER OF 30 MPH OR MORE WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. WINDS WILL SLACK OFF OVERNIGHT...BUT REMAIN
BREEZY THROUGH FRIDAY. OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND WILL
BE MODERATE AT BEST. MIXING WILL BE GOOD THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE
WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...WITH THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN
OCCURRING ON SUNDAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. 5000 FT SNOW LEVELS
IN THE MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 7000 FT BY
MID AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE SHELTERING...SOME
STRONGER GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    5500-6000 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 30 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 500 FT OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................2.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-30 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 3 TO 4 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    7500-8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...BRANDON WRIGHT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150507.BURNT.01/MFR



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