Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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000
FNUS75 KTFX 281512
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ETHEL 24...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
912 AM MDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON APRIL 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...QUIET CONDITIONS THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY BEFORE
WEAK UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH AND SURFACE COLD FRONT ARRIVE EARLY WED.
AFTERNOON. FIRE SITE IS ON NORTHERN EDGE OF AREA WHERE SHOWERS
AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SO PRECIPITATION PROBABILITY
AND CWR IS LOW. WIND SPEEDS INCREASING AND SHIFTING TO WESTERLY
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. TROUGH CLEARS OUT WED. NIGHT WITH DRY AND
BREEZY CONDITIONS TO FOLLOW ON THURSDAY.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH MIDDAY. INCREASING
                    CLOUDS WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN CLEARING EARLY
                    THURSDAY MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-37F.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 10.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR WITH SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59F.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 20 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WARANAUSKAS
REQUESTED BY...JEROD RUSSELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150429.ETHEL.01/TFX


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