Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS23 KWNC 171902
PMDSST
TROPICAL PACIFIC MEAN SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE/SST/ OUTLOOK
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
300 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2015

MEAN TEMPERATURE ANOMALY SST OUTLOOKS ARE IN TENTH OF A DEGREE
CELSIUS FOR THE NINO 3.4 AREA OF THE TROPICAL PACIFIC /5N-5S AND
120W-170W/.  ANOMALIES ARE FROM 1981-2010 NINO 3.4 CLIMATOLOGICAL
SST /CLM/.

                    THREE MONTH OUTLOOK PERIODS
EG. JFM IS JANUARY THROUGH MARCH - FMA FOR FEB. THROUGH APR. ETC.
SEE NOTES BELOW ON TYPES OF OUTLOOKS

TYPE  MJJ  JJA  JAS  ASO  SON  OND  NDJ  DJF  JFM  FMA  MAM  AMJ  MJJ
CONS  0.7  0.7  0.7  0.8  0.9  1.1  0.9  0.9  0.7  0.4  0.4  0.2  0.0
U68   1.2  1.3  1.4  1.5  1.8  2.0  1.9  1.8  1.6  1.1  0.9  0.8  0.6
L68   0.2  0.1  0.1  0.0  0.1  0.1 -0.0  0.0 -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.3 -0.6
U95   1.6  1.9  2.0  2.3  2.6  3.0  2.9  2.7  2.4  1.7  1.5  1.3  1.3
L95  -0.2 -0.5 -0.6 -0.7 -0.8 -0.8 -1.0 -0.9 -0.9 -0.9 -0.7 -0.9 -1.2
CCA   0.8  0.8  0.8  0.8  0.9  1.0  1.0  0.8  0.6  0.5  0.4  0.3  0.2
CA    0.4  0.3  0.2  0.2  0.4  0.6  0.6  0.6  0.5  0.5  0.4  0.3  0.1
CFS   1.4  1.7  1.9  2.1  2.2  2.2

CLM  27.6 27.2 26.9 26.8 26.7 26.6 26.6 26.6 26.8 27.3 27.6 27.8 27.6


CONS - OFFICIAL CONSOLIDATED OUTLOOK
U68  - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FORCONS
L68  - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 68 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
U95  - THE UPPER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
L95  - THE LOWER LIMIT OF 95 PERCENT CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR CONS
CCA  - CANONICAL CORRELATION ANALYSIS OUTLOOK
CA   - CONSTRUCTED ANALOG OUTLOOK
CFS  - NCEP CFS VERSION 2 DYNAMIC MODEL OUTLOOK
CLM  - CLIMATOLOGICAL MEAN NINO 3.4 SST
THIS PRODUCT IS AVAILABLE IN A GRAPHICAL FORMATON THE INTERNET AT
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV    /LOWER CASE/

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