Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 012325
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
625 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS AND SCT
CU AT 5-6 KFT SAT AFTERNOON.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 234 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015/

DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ASSURE A
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY. THE MOST NOTICEABLE EFFECT WILL BE INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER THAN
WE HAVE SEEN THIS FAR THIS SEASON.

AS THE UPPER RIDGE TRANSLATES EASTWARD DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK... UPPER FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL INCREASING DURING THIS SAME TIME PERIOD. VARYING DISTURBANCES
IN THE UPPER FLOW WILL BRING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK
INTO THE FORECAST BEGINNING BY ABOUT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE
TIME OF YEAR... CONDITIONS COULD BE CONDUCIVE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. HOWEVER... NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME. THE ONE CAVEAT IS THAT FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE A
LOT IN RELATIVELY FEW DAYS THIS TIME OF YEAR.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...14






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