Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 152023
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
323 PM CDT WED APR 15 2015

.DISCUSSION...
SLOW MOVING UPPER LOW THAT BROUGHT RECENT WIDESPREAD RAIN /
CLOUDS IS LIFTING AWAY FROM THE REGION WHILE THE NEXT CLOSED LOW
IS CURRENTLY DROPPING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE INTER- MOUNTAIN WEST.
TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THURSDAY WILL MARK THE DRY PERIOD BETWEEN
THESE TWO SYSTEMS FOR THE FORECAST AREA...WITH MORNING FOG ON
THURSDAY LIFTING AND ALLOWING TEMPS TO WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S TO
AROUND 80.

CONVECTION WILL EXPAND IN COVERAGE TO OUR WEST AND SOUTH DURING
THE DAY ON THURSDAY AND SPREAD EASTWARD DURING THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS. A SIMILAR SCENARIO IS LIKELY ON FRIDAY WITH STORM
DEVELOPING TO OUR WEST AND SOUTH ALONG REMNANT SFC BOUNDARIES
AND/OR THE HIGH PLAINS DRYLINE AND SPREADING EASTWARD FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY. THE UPPER LOW WILL HAVE WORKED INTO THE CENTRAL
PLAINS BY SATURDAY AND THE ASSOCIATED SFC BOUNDARIES WILL BE
NEARER THE AREA...WHICH WOULD ALLOW ANY AFTERNOON REDEVELOPMENT OF
STORMS TO BE CLOSER TO THEIR STRONGER STAGES AS THEY TRACK INTO
THE AREA. THE COLDER MID LEVEL TEMPS AND STRONGER FLOW ALOFT WILL
SUPPORT A RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER THOUGH NO SPECIFIC AREA OR TIMEFRAME
IS OVERLY FAVORED. BY SUNDAY THE UPPER TROUGH LOOKS TO BE CROSSING
THE AREA WHILE THE SFC FRONT SWEEPS THROUGH DURING THE DAY. THIS
WILL MAINTAIN PRECIP CHANCES AND USHER IN COOLER TEMPS AND DRIER
WEATHER FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   54  79  60  76 /   0  10  50  60
FSM   54  79  61  78 /  10  10  30  60
MLC   54  78  61  78 /   0  10  30  60
BVO   52  79  58  77 /  10  10  50  60
FYV   51  76  57  74 /  10  10  20  60
BYV   51  75  56  75 /  10  10  20  60
MKO   54  78  60  77 /   0  10  40  60
MIO   52  77  57  75 /  10  10  20  60
F10   54  78  60  76 /   0  10  60  60
HHW   54  79  62  76 /   0  30  30  60

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07




USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.