Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 011934
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
234 PM CDT FRI MAY 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER RIDGING WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL ASSURE A
PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT LEAST
TUESDAY. THE MOST NOTICEABLE EFFECT WILL BE INCREASING SOUTHERLY
WINDS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS AS TEMPERATURES A BIT WARMER THAN
WE HAVE SEEN THIS FAR THIS SEASON.

AS THE UPPER RIDGE TRANSLATES EASTWARD DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK... UPPER FLOW WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
WILL INCREASING DURING THIS SAME TIME PERIOD. VARYING DISTURBANCES
IN THE UPPER FLOW WILL BRING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BACK
INTO THE FORECAST BEGINNING BY ABOUT TUESDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THE
TIME OF YEAR... CONDITIONS COULD BE CONDUCIVE TO ISOLATED STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. HOWEVER... NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME. THE ONE CAVEAT IS THAT FORECASTS AND CONDITIONS CAN CHANGE A
LOT IN RELATIVELY FEW DAYS THIS TIME OF YEAR.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   54  80  61  81 /  10  10  10  10
FSM   53  77  56  81 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   55  77  58  80 /   0   0   0  10
BVO   49  79  58  82 /  10  10  10  10
FYV   45  74  52  77 /  10  10   0  10
BYV   48  75  55  78 /   0  10   0  10
MKO   52  78  56  79 /  10  10  10  10
MIO   48  78  56  79 /  10  10  10  10
F10   53  78  58  79 /  10  10  10  10
HHW   53  76  56  78 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....06





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