Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 161611
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1111 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
1111 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
RISK...ELEVATED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON.

DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON IN FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS MORNING APPROACHES THE RED RIVER. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
INCREASE TONIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE REST OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS THE DISTURBANCE MOVES NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH
THE REGION. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE SLOWLY EAST NORTHEAST
FROM THE FOUR CORNERS REGION TODAY...INTO SOUTHERN KANSAS BY SUNDAY.
AS A RESULT...SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR
TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A LIMITED TO ELEVATED RISK OF LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE GREATEST THREAT WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$








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